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Beer Purchasers Index starts fourth quarter on pessimistic note

October 31, 2022Chris Crowell

At-risk inventory October 2022

The Beer Purchasers’ Index (BPI) for October 2022 shows the total beer index at 37 and the “at-risk” inventory at 56. The October data from the National Beer Wholesalers Association (NBWA) marks a pessimistic start to the fourth quarter of 2022 for the industry.

BPI is the only forward-looking indicator for distributors to measure expected beer demand. The index surveys beer distributors’ purchases across different segments and compares them to previous years. A reading greater than 50 indicates the segment is expanding, while a reading below 50 indicates the segment is contracting.

Continued inflationary pressures and a slowing economy bring the industry to a fifth month of pause after five months of positive ordering trends in 2022.

Looking across the segments for October:

NBWA BPI October 2022
  • The imports index stands as the only beer segment in expansion territory with a reading of 59 in October 2022, lower relative to the October 2021 reading of 69.
  • The craft index at 23 remains well below the October 2021 reading of 43.
  • The premium lights index posted a reading of 45, slightly below the October 2021 reading of 52.
  • The premium regular segment index is at 32, below the October 2021 reading of 42.
  • The below premium segment at 47 is significantly above its October 2021 reading of 30. For a fifth month in a row, below premiums have posted higher readings year-over-year.
  • The FMB/seltzer index continues to contract, falling to 18 in October 2022 from the October 2021 reading of 44.
  • Finally, the cider segment index at 30 for October 2022 is about the same reading as October 2021 at 29
beer charts up
Craft beer demand on upswing in August Beer Purchasers Index
Beer distributors
Beer purchasing shows signs of strength in June 2023 BPI
beer-store-grocery-distribution-wholesaler-cartoon-rendering
Beer purchasing outside of distributor ‘comfort zone’ in May
beer bottle empty fall over dead sad-001
New year, same pessimistic outlook from beer distributors

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